Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 28/08, 09:30
Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Pierre Delage
Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia · Pierre Delage
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathieu Scaglia
Pierre Delage
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia
5-5 (W-L)
Pierre Delage
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1554 · Pierre Delage 1591
| Mathieu Scaglia | Pierre Delage | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pierre Delage makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Pierre Delage | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-11.3 | 12.9-8.3 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 80.5% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Abdulhamid Mubarak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Pierre Delage
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Damien Salvestre M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Matisse Martin M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Arian Barbic M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Jan Sebesta M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Maxime Chazal M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Theo Herrmann M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Pierre Delage?
Our model gives 70% to Pierre Delage, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.