Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Daniel Bagnolini
Team pages: Maxime Chazal · Daniel Bagnolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Chazal
Daniel Bagnolini
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Chazal
8-2 (W-L)
Daniel Bagnolini
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1589 · Daniel Bagnolini 1434
| Maxime Chazal | Daniel Bagnolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Chazal (rating 1589 vs 1434).
- Maxime Chazal is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Daniel Bagnolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.2 | 8.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Filip Malis M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | David Fix M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Tim Hammes M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Strasbourg |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
Daniel Bagnolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Elias Julian Werner M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Gregorio Biondolillo M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 11/05 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Daniel Bagnolini?
Our model gives 81% to Maxime Chazal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.