Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 26/08, 20:00
Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Ignacio Buse
Team pages: Daniel Altmaier · Ignacio Buse
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Altmaier
Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier
3-7 (W-L)
Ignacio Buse
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Altmaier
0–1
Ignacio Buse
(1 last)
- 16 Aug1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1516 · Ignacio Buse 1471
| Daniel Altmaier | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Altmaier (rating 1516 vs 1471).
- Head-to-head: Daniel Altmaier 0–1 Ignacio Buse (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Altmaier | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.3 | 11.4-13.2 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 48% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 52% · 1.80
H2H · Daniel Altmaier 0 – 1 Ignacio Buse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Altmaier 0–1 Ignacio Buse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 Challenger Cancun | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Francisco Comesana ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-22 | L |
Ignacio Buse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Adam Walton ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Vit Kopriva ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Emilio Nava Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Ignacio Buse?
Our model gives 51% to Daniel Altmaier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.