Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 26/08, 20:00

Prediction: Rinky Hijikata vs Benjamin Bonzi

Team pages: Rinky Hijikata · Benjamin Bonzi

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Rinky Hijikata Benjamin Bonzi
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rinky Hijikata 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLLWLWL
Benjamin Bonzi 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rinky Hijikata 1519 · Benjamin Bonzi 1542
Rinky HijikataBenjamin Bonzi
Our model47%53%
Market53%47%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Benjamin Bonzi makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Rinky HijikataBenjamin Bonzi
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.41.5-1
Games (G-P)13.1-14.413.8-12.8
Aces4.37.2
Double faults34.9
1st serve %64.4%69.9%
Break %33.3%37.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.4
Over 23.5: 60% · 1.90 Under 23.5: 40% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rinky Hijikata

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Raphael Collignon
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 17-18 W
24/08 Darwin Blanch
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/08 Jakub Mensik
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
15/08 Luciano Darderi
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Gael Monfils
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
02/08 Jaume Munar
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/07 Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
30/06 Jesper De Jong
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 26-27 L
19/06 Ugo Humbert
ATP Queens · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
18/06 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Queens · Grass
2-1 18-17 W

Benjamin Bonzi

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Quentin Halys
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
24/08 Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
21/08 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
19/08 Justin Boulais
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/08 Dusan Lajovic
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 18-16 L
04/08 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
01/08 Hugo Dellien
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
31/07 Jay Friend
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
29/07 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/07 Blaise Bicknell
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rinky Hijikata vs Benjamin Bonzi?

Our model gives 50% to Rinky Hijikata, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.