Tennis · W35 Verbier · 27/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mara Guth vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
Team pages: Mara Guth · Tiphanie Lemaitre
Prediction summary
Winner
Mara Guth
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mara Guth
4-6 (W-L)
Tiphanie Lemaitre
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mara Guth 1511 · Tiphanie Lemaitre 1449
| Mara Guth | Tiphanie Lemaitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mara Guth (rating 1511 vs 1449).
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Mara Guth | Tiphanie Lemaitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.8 | 9-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mara Guth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Margaux Komano W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Merel Hoedt W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/08 | Elsa Bonelli W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Melisa Ercan W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Kristina Mladenovic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mara Guth vs Tiphanie Lemaitre?
Our model gives 59% to Mara Guth, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.