Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 26/08, 16:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Luciano Darderi
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Luciano Darderi
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Luciano Darderi
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
6-4 (W-L)
Luciano Darderi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1546 · Luciano Darderi 1515
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.2 | 12.9-12 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 30.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model gives 56% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.