Tennis · W35 Trieste · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Federica Sacco vs Maria Andrienko

Team pages: Federica Sacco · Maria Andrienko

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Federica Sacco Maria Andrienko
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Sacco 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWL
Maria Andrienko 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federica Sacco 1510 · Maria Andrienko 1568
Federica SaccoMaria Andrienko
Our model42%58%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Andrienko (rating 1510 vs 1568).

Statistics

Federica SaccoMaria Andrienko
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)11.7-10.210.6-9.9
Aces1.60.3
Double faults2.53.8
1st serve %61%58.3%
Break %52.7%49.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federica Sacco

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Trieste
2-1 13-15 W
18/08 Jessica Pieri
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
12/08 Maia Ilinca Burcescu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/07 Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/07 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/07 Beatrice Stagno
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
21/07 Kristina Kovgan
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
08/07 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Buzau
1-2 11-13 L
07/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Buzau
2-0 13-10 W
06/07 Annemarie Lazar
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-5 W

Maria Andrienko

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Carolina Dibenedetto
W35 Trieste
2-1 16-11 W
23/08 Lisa Claeys
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-5 W
22/08 Romane Longueville
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-9 W
21/08 Margaux Maquet
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 8-4 W
20/08 Sevil Yuldasheva
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 12-8 W
19/08 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 14-11 W
18/08 Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-1 9-10 W
02/08 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W75 Koksijde
0-2 1-12 L
26/07 Anastasiia Firman
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 7-13 L
23/07 Charlotte Cora Bruneton
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
1-2 13-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federica Sacco vs Maria Andrienko?

Our model gives 59% to Federica Sacco, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.