Tennis · W35 Trieste · 27/08, 11:30

Prediction: Federica Sacco vs Valentina Steiner

Team pages: Federica Sacco · Valentina Steiner

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Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Federica Sacco Valentina Steiner
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Sacco 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWLW
Valentina Steiner 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federica Sacco 1509 · Valentina Steiner 1605
Federica SaccoValentina Steiner
Our model37%63%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Steiner (rating 1509 vs 1605).

Statistics

Federica SaccoValentina Steiner
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.6-0.8
Games (G-P)11.7-10.311.8-8.9
Aces1.40.4
Double faults2.83.4
1st serve %58.7%60.5%
Break %52.9%54%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federica Sacco

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Maria Andrienko
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-6 W
24/08 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Trieste
2-1 13-15 W
18/08 Jessica Pieri
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L
12/08 Maia Ilinca Burcescu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/07 Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/07 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/07 Beatrice Stagno
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
21/07 Kristina Kovgan
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
08/07 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Buzau
1-2 11-13 L
07/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Buzau
2-0 13-10 W

Valentina Steiner

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Federica Trevisan
W35 Trieste
2-1 14-12 W
26/08 Viola Turini
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-7 W
23/08 Josy Daems
W35 Erwitte
2-1 15-10 W
22/08 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Erwitte
2-1 13-11 W
21/08 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Erwitte
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Marie Vogt
W35 Erwitte
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Tina Manescu
W35 Erwitte
2-0 12-3 W
09/08 Sophie Greiner
W50 Hamburg
0-2 4-10 L
07/08 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W75 Leipzig
0-2 8-12 L
06/08 Julie Pastikova
W75 Leipzig
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federica Sacco vs Valentina Steiner?

Our model gives 68% to Valentina Steiner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.