Tennis · W35 Trieste · 27/08, 11:30
Prediction: Marie Mettraux vs Aran Teixido Garcia
Team pages: Marie Mettraux
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mettraux
Aran Teixido Garcia
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mettraux
5-5 (W-L)
Aran Teixido Garcia
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mettraux 1564 · Aran Teixido Garcia 1511
| Marie Mettraux | Aran Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Mettraux (rating 1564 vs 1511).
- Note: Aran Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Marie Mettraux | Aran Teixido Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9 | 11-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mettraux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Laura Mair W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Jessica Pieri W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Sophia Biolay W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Pauline Dore W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Veritsa Yaneva W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Aran Teixido Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Matilde Mariani W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Amy Zhu W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Anna Frey WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Luisa Schruff W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Polina Kuharenko W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mettraux vs Aran Teixido Garcia?
Our model gives 51% to Aran Teixido Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.