Tennis · W50 Oldenzaal · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Tena Lukas
Team pages: Arina Gabriela Vasilescu · Tena Lukas
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Tena Lukas
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
8-2 (W-L)
Tena Lukas
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 1591 · Tena Lukas 1530
| Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Gabriela Vasilescu (rating 1591 vs 1530).
- Arina Gabriela Vasilescu is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-6.5 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 52% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Charlotte Pikkaart W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Dayeon Back W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Ayano Shimizu W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Irina Fetecau UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Anna-Marie Weissheim UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Marie Krymlova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Ellen Katzer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Lola Giza W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Leticia Solakov W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Eva Bennemann W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Alexa Karatancheva W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Johanna Silva W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Carla Markus W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Tena Lukas?
Our model gives 60% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.