Tennis · W50 Oldenzaal · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Team pages: Tessa Johanna Brockmann · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Prediction summary
Winner
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
4-6 (W-L)
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
0–1
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
(1 last)
- 21 Aug1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 1485 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1588
| Tessa Johanna Brockmann | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1485 vs 1588).
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tessa Johanna Brockmann 0–1 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (1).
- Note: Tessa Johanna Brockmann makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Tessa Johanna Brockmann | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.8 | 11.4-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 30.2% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 0 – 1 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 0–1 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 W35 Erwitte | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jule Niemeier W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Marie Vogt W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Fiona Ferro W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Sohyun Park W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Samira De Stefano W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Milena Steinkamp W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Polina Leykina W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/07 | Julia Grabher W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Camilla Zanolini W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 63% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.