Tennis · W50 Oldenzaal · 28/08, 11:00
Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Amandine Monnot
Team pages: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · Amandine Monnot
Prediction summary
Winner
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Amandine Monnot
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
7-3 (W-L)
Amandine Monnot
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1562 · Amandine Monnot 1474
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Amandine Monnot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1562 vs 1474).
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Amandine Monnot makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Amandine Monnot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.4 | 10.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Milena Steinkamp W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Polina Leykina W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/07 | Julia Grabher W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Amandine Monnot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Josy Daems W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Sina Herrmann W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W75 Cordenons |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Jasmijn Gimbrere WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Amandine Monnot?
Our model gives 71% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.