Prediction: Andrea Paolini vs Radovan Michalik
Team pages: Andrea Paolini · Radovan Michalik
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Paolini
Radovan Michalik
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Paolini
5-5 (W-L)
Radovan Michalik
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Paolini 1528 · Radovan Michalik 1438
| Andrea Paolini | Radovan Michalik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Paolini (rating 1528 vs 1438).
- Andrea Paolini is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrea Paolini | Radovan Michalik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.5 | 8.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Filip Martinovic M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Arad |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Yannick Castelnuovo M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 07/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Radovan Michalik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Adam Majchrzak M25 Koszalin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Tomas Lanik M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Stevan Popovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Gabor Hornung M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Corentin Denolly M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Paolini vs Radovan Michalik?
Our model gives 69% to Andrea Paolini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.