Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Tristan McCormick
Team pages: Yaroslav Demin · Tristan McCormick
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Tristan McCormick
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
5-5 (W-L)
Tristan McCormick
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1493 · Tristan McCormick 1540
| Yaroslav Demin | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan McCormick (rating 1493 vs 1540).
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.6 | 12.9-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Vic |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 15/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Tristan McCormick?
Our model gives 51% to Tristan McCormick, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.