Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Carles Hernandez
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Carles Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Carles Hernandez
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
5-5 (W-L)
Carles Hernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Nijboer
1–0
Carles Hernandez
(1 last)
- 28 Aug2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1522 · Carles Hernandez 1549
| Ryan Nijboer | Carles Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ryan Nijboer 1–0 Carles Hernandez (1).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Carles Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.1 | 13.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Ryan Nijboer 1 – 0 Carles Hernandez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Nijboer 1–0 Carles Hernandez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/24 ITF M25 Oviedo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Carles Hernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Oriol Font M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Santander |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Santander |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Miguel Angel Machado M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Adam Lynch M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Carles Hernandez?
Our model gives 60% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.