Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Bernardo Munk Mesa
Team pages: Pedro Vives Marcos · Bernardo Munk Mesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Vives Marcos
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Vives Marcos
6-4 (W-L)
Bernardo Munk Mesa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Vives Marcos 1572 · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1483
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1572 vs 1483).
- Pedro Vives Marcos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.4 | 10.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 68% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Aren Baybars M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Edoardo Betti M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Vives Marcos vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?
Our model gives 64% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.