Tennis · M15 Vienna · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Matyas Kozlovsky vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Matyas Kozlovsky · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Kozlovsky
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Kozlovsky
6-4 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Kozlovsky 1512 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1501
| Matyas Kozlovsky | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Pavlos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 6 aces and 46.5% break avg.
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Matyas Kozlovsky | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Carpet | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.3 | 12.8-12.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 73% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Kozlovsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Staeheli M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Huszar M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Stepan Mruzek UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Theo Coats UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Adam Jurajda UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jan Klimas UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Arda Azkara M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Dominik Palan M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Roan Jones M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James McGloughlin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Kozlovsky vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 52% to Pavlos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on carpet.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.