Tennis · M15 Vienna · 26/08, 10:00

Prediction: Giovanni Oradini vs Patrick Jozwicki

Team pages: Giovanni Oradini · Patrick Jozwicki

Prediction summary
Winner
77% 23%
Giovanni Oradini Patrick Jozwicki
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Oradini 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWWWWL
Patrick Jozwicki 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giovanni Oradini 1540 · Patrick Jozwicki 1455
Giovanni OradiniPatrick Jozwicki
Our model62%38%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giovanni Oradini (rating 1540 vs 1455).
  • Giovanni Oradini is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Giovanni OradiniPatrick Jozwicki
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-10.7-1.4
Games (G-P)11.9-9.98.7-10.9
Aces3.70.4
Double faults1.12.7
1st serve %70.6%58%
Break %51.8%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giovanni Oradini

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Alexander Weis
M25 Lesa
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Federico Bove
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-4 W
29/07 Federico Arnaboldi
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
28/07 Ludovico Vaccari
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
06/07 Oleg Prihodko
Challenger Trieste · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
05/07 Matteo Sciahbasi
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Lorenzo Angelini
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 5-10 L
02/07 Paris Pouatcha
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
01/07 Emanuel Ivanisevic
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 16-16 W

Patrick Jozwicki

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Tim Ritzer
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Mistelbach
1-2 10-16 L
22/07 Marat Sharipov
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 7-12 L
21/07 Jiri Cizek
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 13-7 W
03/06 Ali Yazdani
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/06 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/05 Rocco Piatti
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/05 Giovanni Ciocca
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
27/04 Stefan Cooper
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
21/04 Melih Anavatan
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giovanni Oradini vs Patrick Jozwicki?

Our model gives 77% to Giovanni Oradini, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.