Tennis · W50 Oldenzaal · 25/08, 10:00
Prediction: Mayuka Aikawa vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Team pages: Mayuka Aikawa · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayuka Aikawa
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mayuka Aikawa
6-4 (W-L)
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mayuka Aikawa
1–0
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
(1 last)
- 22 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayuka Aikawa 1523 · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 1605
| Mayuka Aikawa | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Gabriela Vasilescu (rating 1523 vs 1605).
- Arina Gabriela Vasilescu is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mayuka Aikawa 1–0 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu (1).
Statistics
| Mayuka Aikawa | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-9.8 | 12.3-6.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 59% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
H2H · Mayuka Aikawa 1 – 0 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mayuka Aikawa 1–0 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/24 W75 Vero Beach | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayuka Aikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Mirjana Jovanovic W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Xinyu Gao W50 Prague |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Barbora Michalkova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Mia Chudejova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Tina Manescu W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Daniela Vismane W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Charlotte Pikkaart W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Dayeon Back W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Ayano Shimizu W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Irina Fetecau UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Anna-Marie Weissheim UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Marie Krymlova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Ellen Katzer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Ingrid Vojcinakova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayuka Aikawa vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu?
Our model gives 53% to Arina Gabriela Vasilescu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.