Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 26/08, 19:00

Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys

Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Quentin Halys

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Benjamin Bonzi Quentin Halys
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWLW
Quentin Halys 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Benjamin Bonzi 2–5 Quentin Halys (7 last)
  • 11 Jan0-2 7-12L
  • 16 Jun0-2 8-12L
  • 07 Nov2-0 13-9W
  • 29 Aug3-1 23-19W
  • 26 Mar0-2 7-12L
  • 11 Jan0-2 2-12L
  • 22 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1510 · Quentin Halys 1588
Benjamin BonziQuentin Halys
Our model39%61%
Market43%57%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quentin Halys (rating 1510 vs 1588).
  • Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 10.9 aces and 40.3% break avg.
  • Quentin Halys is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi 2–5 Quentin Halys (7).
  • Note: Benjamin Bonzi makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Benjamin BonziQuentin Halys
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.7-0.5
Games (G-P)13.1-12.513.1-10.6
Aces7.710.9
Double faults52.7
1st serve %72.9%83.5%
Break %35.2%40.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.9
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 44% · 1.83

H2H · Benjamin Bonzi 25 Quentin Halys (7)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Benjamin Bonzi 25 Quentin Halys

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DateSetsGamesRes.
11/01/26
ATP Adelaide
0-27-12L
16/06/25
ATP Halle
0-28-12L
07/11/24
ATP Metz
2-013-9W
29/08/23
US Open
3-123-19W
26/03/21
Challenger Lille
0-27-12L
11/01/21
Australian Open
0-22-12L
22/10/14
ITF Greece F9
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Bonzi

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
21/08 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
19/08 Justin Boulais
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/08 Dusan Lajovic
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 18-16 L
04/08 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
01/08 Hugo Dellien
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
31/07 Jay Friend
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
29/07 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/07 Blaise Bicknell
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
18/06 Christopher O'Connell
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 8-12 L

Quentin Halys

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/08 Alex De Minaur
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
14/08 Vit Kopriva
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
13/08 Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
11/08 Soonwoo Kwon
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
25/07 Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
24/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Mariano Navone
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/07 Valentin Vacherot
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Laslo Djere
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
17/07 Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys?

Our model gives 59% to Quentin Halys, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.