Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 26/08, 19:00
Prediction: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse
Team pages: Adam Walton · Ignacio Buse
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Walton
Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Walton
8-2 (W-L)
Ignacio Buse
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adam Walton
1–0
Ignacio Buse
(1 last)
- 17 Aug2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Walton 1523 · Ignacio Buse 1461
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adam Walton (rating 1523 vs 1461).
- Head-to-head: Adam Walton 1–0 Ignacio Buse (1).
Statistics
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.8 | 11-12.9 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 66% |
| Break % | 44% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 48% · 1.80
H2H · Adam Walton 1 – 0 Ignacio Buse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adam Walton 1–0 Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 ATP Cincinnati | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Walton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Jesper De Jong ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Justin Boulais ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Vit Kopriva ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Emilio Nava Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse?
Our model gives 63% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.