Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 26/08, 19:00

Prediction: Arthur Fery vs Cruz Hewitt

Team pages: Arthur Fery · Cruz Hewitt

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Arthur Fery Cruz Hewitt
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fery 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWWLWL
Cruz Hewitt 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arthur Fery 1573 · Cruz Hewitt 1506
Arthur FeryCruz Hewitt
Our model60%40%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Fery (rating 1573 vs 1506).
  • Note: Cruz Hewitt makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Arthur FeryCruz Hewitt
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.9-1.51.2-1.3
Games (G-P)17.9-17.110.6-11.8
Aces5.82.7
Double faults2.64
1st serve %69.8%69.1%
Break %51.8%41.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +5.2
Over 20.5: 82% · 1.90 Under 20.5: 18% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arthur Fery

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Alex De Minaur
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
15/08 James Duckworth
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
10/07 Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 12-19 L
08/07 Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-10 W
06/07 Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 27-27 W
04/07 Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 25-29 W
02/07 Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 24-19 W
30/06 Damir Dzumhur
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 21-11 W
24/06 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 17-13 W

Cruz Hewitt

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Sebastian Gorzny
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
07/08 Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven
1-2 11-16 L
06/08 Leo Vithoontien
M25 Southaven
2-0 12-7 W
05/08 Axel Nefve
M25 Southaven
2-1 13-8 W
30/07 Alex De Minaur
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Marcos Giron
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/06 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
14/06 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-1 15-14 W
10/06 Niels McDonald
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/06 Mariano Dedura-Palomero
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arthur Fery vs Cruz Hewitt?

Our model gives 71% to Arthur Fery, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.