Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 25/08, 23:00
Prediction: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone
Team pages: James Duckworth · Mariano Navone
Prediction summary
Winner
James Duckworth
Mariano Navone
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
James Duckworth
4-6 (W-L)
Mariano Navone
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1517 · Mariano Navone 1502
| James Duckworth | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: James Duckworth makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.5 | 11.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 48% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 52% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Tallon Griekspoor Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 20/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Mariano Navone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone?
Our model gives 55% to Mariano Navone, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.