Tennis · W50 Oldenzaal · 25/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Maria Toma
Team pages: Alena Kovackova · Maria Toma
Prediction summary
Winner
Alena Kovackova
Maria Toma
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alena Kovackova
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Toma
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1588 · Maria Toma 1536
| Alena Kovackova | Maria Toma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alena Kovackova (rating 1588 vs 1536).
- Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Maria Toma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.1 | 9.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Laura Boehner W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Jana Kovackova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Eva Marie Voracek W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lina Gjorcheska W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Sohyun Park W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Maria Toma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sevil Yuldasheva W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Xinyu Gao W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Aranai Martinez Quintana W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Nagi Hanatani W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W50 Horb |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Horb |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Veena Mariam Nazar W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Maria Toma?
Our model gives 77% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.