Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 27/08, 21:30
Prediction: Sage Bergeson vs Polina Marakhtanova
Team pages: Sage Bergeson · Polina Marakhtanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sage Bergeson
Polina Marakhtanova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sage Bergeson
6-4 (W-L)
Polina Marakhtanova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sage Bergeson 1555 · Polina Marakhtanova 1556
| Sage Bergeson | Polina Marakhtanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Polina Marakhtanova makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Sage Bergeson | Polina Marakhtanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.1 | 12.5-10 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 66.8% | 63.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sage Bergeson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Mila Mulready UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Polina Marakhtanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Ines Leon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Campbell Ricci UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Catherine Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tsehay Driscoll UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/12 | Shakhnoza Khatamova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/12 | Olivia Allegre UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/12 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/12 | Alisa Lansky UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sage Bergeson vs Polina Marakhtanova?
Our model gives 53% to Sage Bergeson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.