Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 25/08, 14:30
Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Pedro Rodenas · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Rodenas
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Rodenas
7-3 (W-L)
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1552 · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 1470
| Pedro Rodenas | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1552 vs 1470).
- Pedro Rodenas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Pedro Rodenas | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.3 | 10.2-10 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Rodenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Marc Martin Roca M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Enzo Helguera Casado M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/02 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Maxime Chazal M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Tito Chavez M15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 11/11 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez ITF M15 LPD Gran Canaria · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 75% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.