Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 25/08, 10:00

Prediction: Oriol Font vs Carles Hernandez

Team pages: Carles Hernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Oriol Font Carles Hernandez
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oriol Font 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWWW
Carles Hernandez 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oriol Font 1465 · Carles Hernandez 1550
Oriol FontCarles Hernandez
Our model38%62%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carles Hernandez (rating 1465 vs 1550).
  • Carles Hernandez is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Oriol FontCarles Hernandez
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.5-1
Games (G-P)8.2-10.913-11.4
Aces1.40.9
Double faults2.62.4
1st serve %55.7%62.4%
Break %38.2%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oriol Font

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Jorge Lopez Dominguez
M25 Oviedo
2-0 13-10 W
28/07 Alvaro Peiro Serrano
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-3 W
20/05 Kuzey Cekirge
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
1-2 16-18 L
19/05 Darrshan Suresh
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
12/05 Thomas Gerbaud
M25 Vic
1-2 6-11 L
04/05 Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
28/04 Janis Graski
M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
03/03 David Naharro
M15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/02 Daniel Uta
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
10/02 Noah Perfetti
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Carles Hernandez

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Santander
1-2 11-15 L
18/08 Yaroslav Demin
M25 Santander
2-1 15-14 W
01/08 Carlos Lopez Montagud
M15 Xativa
1-2 16-17 L
31/07 Miguel Angel Machado
M15 Xativa
2-0 12-1 W
30/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Xativa
2-0 13-9 W
29/07 Adam Lynch
M15 Xativa
2-0 13-8 W
22/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Denia
0-2 6-12 L
15/07 Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
M25 Gandia
1-2 17-19 L
05/07 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
04/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oriol Font vs Carles Hernandez?

Our model gives 76% to Carles Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.