Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 25/08, 13:00
Prediction: Pablo Aunion vs Yaroslav Demin
Team pages: Pablo Aunion · Yaroslav Demin
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Aunion
Yaroslav Demin
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Aunion
5-5 (W-L)
Yaroslav Demin
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pablo Aunion
0–1
Yaroslav Demin
(1 last)
- 18 Feb0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Aunion 1520 · Yaroslav Demin 1478
| Pablo Aunion | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Aunion (rating 1520 vs 1478).
- Head-to-head: Pablo Aunion 0–1 Yaroslav Demin (1).
Statistics
| Pablo Aunion | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.6 | 9.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Pablo Aunion 0 – 1 Yaroslav Demin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pablo Aunion 0–1 Yaroslav Demin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/25 M15 Villena | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Aunion
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Noah Regas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Keanu Elias Immler M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Hamish Stewart M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 17/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Maximilian Figl M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yaroslav Demin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Vic |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Aunion vs Yaroslav Demin?
Our model gives 60% to Yaroslav Demin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.