Tennis · W35 Trieste · 25/08, 13:00
Prediction: Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Martina Colmegna
Team pages: Marianne Argyrokastriti · Martina Colmegna
Prediction summary
Winner
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Martina Colmegna
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marianne Argyrokastriti
5-5 (W-L)
Martina Colmegna
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marianne Argyrokastriti 1521 · Martina Colmegna 1480
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianne Argyrokastriti (rating 1521 vs 1480).
- Note: Marianne Argyrokastriti makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.5 | 9.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fabiola Marino W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Maria Andrienko W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Agureeva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Alessia Antici W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Federica Sacco W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Lucie Urbanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Martina Colmegna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Oceane Babel W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Martina Colmegna?
Our model gives 57% to Marianne Argyrokastriti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.