Tennis · W15 Hurghada · 25/08, 09:30

Prediction: Justine Bretnacher vs Saumya Ronde

Team pages: Justine Bretnacher · Saumya Ronde

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Justine Bretnacher Saumya Ronde
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Justine Bretnacher 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLWL
Saumya Ronde 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Justine Bretnacher 1444 · Saumya Ronde 1493
Justine BretnacherSaumya Ronde
Our model43%57%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saumya Ronde (rating 1444 vs 1493).
  • Note: Justine Bretnacher makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Saumya Ronde makes many double faults (7.6/match).

Statistics

Justine BretnacherSaumya Ronde
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.1-1.2
Games (G-P)7.1-11.49.2-10.6
Aces0.20.3
Double faults47.6
1st serve %53.2%53.9%
Break %47.2%59.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Justine Bretnacher

LWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Klara Veldman
W15 Hameenlinna
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Anet Angelika Koskel
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 13-7 W
20/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W75 Cordenons
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Sofia Avataneo
W75 Cordenons
2-1 14-13 W
07/07 Amelie Smejkalova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-11 L
30/06 Sofia Shapatava
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Aspen Schuman
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
09/06 Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
02/06 Alice Battesti
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/11 Alba Salles Canudas
ITF W15 Torello · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Saumya Ronde

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Yashaswini Panwar
W15 Astana
1-2 13-17 L
14/07 Emilia Milash
W15 Astana
2-1 12-11 W
17/06 Anna Shkutova
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Ghita Sebbar
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/06 Aya El Aouni
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/04 Zhibek Kulambayeva
W15 Ch.Sambhaji Nagar · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
31/03 Jeetesh Kumari
W15 Ch.Sambhaji Nagar · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/03 Parthsarthi Arun Mundhe
W15 Ch.Sambhaji Nagar · ~Clay
2-1 11-8 W
23/03 Ekaterina Khodzhaeva
W15 Nagpur
0-2 4-12 L
22/03 Lakshmi Gowda
W15 Nagpur
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Justine Bretnacher vs Saumya Ronde?

Our model gives 50% to Justine Bretnacher, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.