Tennis · W35 Verbier · 25/08, 12:30
Prediction: Mara Guth vs Margaux Komano
Team pages: Mara Guth · Margaux Komano
Prediction summary
Winner
Mara Guth
Margaux Komano
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mara Guth
4-6 (W-L)
Margaux Komano
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mara Guth 1482 · Margaux Komano 1508
| Mara Guth | Margaux Komano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (6.5/match).
- Note: Margaux Komano makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Mara Guth | Margaux Komano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 9.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mara Guth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Merel Hoedt W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Margaux Komano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Coline Briand W35 Verbier Qual |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mara Guth vs Margaux Komano?
Our model gives 71% to Mara Guth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.