Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 26/08, 19:30
Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Marley Lambert
Team pages: Kelly Keller · Marley Lambert
Prediction summary
Winner
Kelly Keller
Marley Lambert
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kelly Keller
4-6 (W-L)
Marley Lambert
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1515 · Marley Lambert 1426
| Kelly Keller | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kelly Keller (rating 1515 vs 1426).
- Note: Marley Lambert makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Kelly Keller | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.2 | 6.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 8.4 |
| 1st serve % | 51.3% | 50.6% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelly Keller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Anna Linn Moll UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Yuyun Chen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlota Moreno W35 Florence |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Erika Sema W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kate Fakih W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Elena Goodman W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Jane Dunyon W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Louise Wikander UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Natali Jaiani UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Betina Tokac UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Anya Nelson UTR Pro Denver Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Marley Lambert?
Our model gives 76% to Kelly Keller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.