Tennis · W50 Oldenzaal · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Jana Kovackova
Team pages: Deborah Chiesa · Jana Kovackova
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Jana Kovackova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
4-6 (W-L)
Jana Kovackova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1513 · Jana Kovackova 1578
| Deborah Chiesa | Jana Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jana Kovackova (rating 1513 vs 1578).
- Note: Jana Kovackova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Jana Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.9 | 12.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Eva Bennemann W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Andreea Prisacariu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Jana Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Xinyu Gao W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Prague |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Lucie Havlickova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Amandine Monnot W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Anna Siskova W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W75 Trnava |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Jana Kovackova?
Our model gives 57% to Jana Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.