Tennis · W50 Oldenzaal · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Jule Niemeier
Team pages: Tessa Johanna Brockmann · Jule Niemeier
Prediction summary
Winner
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Jule Niemeier
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
4-6 (W-L)
Jule Niemeier
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 1465 · Jule Niemeier 1614
| Tessa Johanna Brockmann | Jule Niemeier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jule Niemeier (rating 1465 vs 1614).
- Jule Niemeier is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Tessa Johanna Brockmann makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Jule Niemeier makes many double faults (10.3/match).
Statistics
| Tessa Johanna Brockmann | Jule Niemeier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.7 | 12.7-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 10.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 60.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Marie Vogt W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Fiona Ferro W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Sohyun Park W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Samira De Stefano W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Victoria Brand W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jule Niemeier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Sandra Samir W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Julie Myatovic W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Elfya Ba W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Julia Avdeeva WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Jule Niemeier?
Our model gives 62% to Jule Niemeier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.