Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 25/08, 14:00
Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Nazim Makhlouf
Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia · Nazim Makhlouf
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathieu Scaglia
Nazim Makhlouf
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Nazim Makhlouf
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1509 · Nazim Makhlouf 1446
| Mathieu Scaglia | Nazim Makhlouf | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathieu Scaglia (rating 1509 vs 1446).
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Nazim Makhlouf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.7 | 8.7-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Abdulhamid Mubarak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Nazim Makhlouf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Massimo Pizzigoni M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Flynn Thomas M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Yassine Smiej M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Nazim Makhlouf?
Our model gives 61% to Mathieu Scaglia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.