Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 25/08, 09:30
Prediction: Timeo Trufelli vs Liam Branger
Team pages: Timeo Trufelli · Liam Branger
Prediction summary
Winner
Timeo Trufelli
Liam Branger
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Timeo Trufelli
4-6 (W-L)
Liam Branger
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timeo Trufelli 1445 · Liam Branger 1494
| Timeo Trufelli | Liam Branger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Branger (rating 1445 vs 1494).
Statistics
| Timeo Trufelli | Liam Branger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.9 | 12.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 23.2% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timeo Trufelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Leonardo Angeloni M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jakub Nicod M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Justas Trainauskas M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Justin Lenders M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Daniel Antonio Nunez M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Liam Branger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Arthur Nagel M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Timofey Stepanov M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/04 | Robin Bertrand M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/04 | Luca Potenza M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/04 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timeo Trufelli vs Liam Branger?
Our model gives 60% to Liam Branger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.