Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 25/08, 09:30
Prediction: Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner
Team pages: Daniel Bagnolini · Elias Julian Werner
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Bagnolini
Elias Julian Werner
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Bagnolini
4-6 (W-L)
Elias Julian Werner
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Bagnolini 1402 · Elias Julian Werner 1404
| Daniel Bagnolini | Elias Julian Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daniel Bagnolini makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Bagnolini | Elias Julian Werner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-12.5 | 6.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 23.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Bagnolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Gregorio Biondolillo M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 11/05 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 10/05 | Max Kohler M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Elias Julian Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Arian Barbic M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Piet Luis Pinter M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Sungbeen Sim M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Aubin Rouillon M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Preston Brown ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 17/12 | Alexander Klintcharov ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 10/12 | Matt Kuhar ITF M15 Hamilton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner?
Our model gives 67% to Daniel Bagnolini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.