Tennis · M15 Vienna · 26/08, 10:00

Prediction: Manuel Plunger vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

Team pages: Manuel Plunger · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Manuel Plunger Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Plunger 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWLL
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manuel Plunger 1476 · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 1449
Manuel PlungerDaniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Our model54%46%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Manuel PlungerDaniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.30.8-1.6
Games (G-P)9.9-11.78.7-11.8
Aces1.91
Double faults3.42.3
1st serve %64.7%61%
Break %34.1%37.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manuel Plunger

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Ueberlingen
1-2 16-18 L
29/07 Adrian Andreev
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-0 6-3 W
16/07 Alexander Wagner
M25 Kramsach
1-2 13-17 L
14/07 Daniel Siniakov
M25 Kramsach
2-1 16-14 W
25/06 Matthew William Donald
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
17/06 Niklas Schell
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
28/05 Matthew William Donald
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
26/05 Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Ammar Elamin
M15 Warsaw
1-2 11-16 L
11/08 Piotr Siekanowicz
M15 Warsaw
2-1 13-7 W
27/07 Leonardo Borrelli
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Mattia Cona
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
01/07 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Karel Froemel
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
22/06 Hugo Car
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/04 Florent Bax
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/03 Marco Furlanetto
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L
19/03 Viacheslav Bielinskyi
M15 Rovinj · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manuel Plunger vs Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei?

Our model gives 64% to Manuel Plunger, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.