Tennis · M15 Pecs · 26/08, 10:00

Prediction: Fermin Tenti vs Ignacio Monzon

Team pages: Fermin Tenti · Ignacio Monzon

Prediction summary

Winner

51% 49%

Fermin Tenti Ignacio Monzon

Estimated games

21.7

Recent form · 10 last

Fermin Tenti 5-5 (W-L)

LWLLWWLWWL

Ignacio Monzon 6-4 (W-L)

WWLWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Fermin Tenti 6–4 Ignacio Monzon (10 last)

08 Jul1-2 12-15L
26 Mar1-2 12-17L
04 Oct2-0 13-9W
03 Jun2-1 23-20W
09 Mar2-1 15-9W
29 Sept2-1 18-16W
17 Oct2-0 12-3W
12 Oct1-2 13-15L

Showing the 8 with a final score we have.

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fermin Tenti 1536 · Ignacio Monzon 1522

	Fermin Tenti	Ignacio Monzon
Our model	52%	48%
Market	50%	50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Head-to-head: Fermin Tenti 6–4 Ignacio Monzon (10).

Statistics

	Fermin Tenti	Ignacio Monzon
Win %	60%	60%
Win % · Clay	67% (3)	67% (6)
Sets (G-P)	1.3-0.9	1.3-1
Games (G-P)	10.2-10.7	11.5-10.4
Aces	0.3	0.2
Double faults	1.2	2.7
1st serve %	59%	63.8%
Break %	47.2%	45.1%

Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

H2H · Fermin Tenti 6 – 4 Ignacio Monzon (10)

Odds Bet365

11.83

21.83

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
17:04 +33’	1.83	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fermin Tenti 6–4 Ignacio Monzon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Sets	Games	Res.
08/07/25 ITF M15 Salta	1-2	12-15	L
26/03/24 ITF M15 Bragado	1-2	12-17	L
04/10/23 ITF M25 Mendoza	2-0	13-9	W
03/06/21 ITF M15 Novomoskovsk	2-1	23-20	W
09/03/21 M15 Porec	2-1	15-9	W
29/09/20 M15 Monastir	2-1	18-16	W
17/10/19 ITF M15 Tabarka	2-0	12-3	W
12/10/19 ITF M15 Tabarka	1-2	13-15	L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fermin Tenti

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
21/08	Iannis Miletich M15 Arad	1-2	12-16	L
20/08	Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Arad	2-0	12-7	W
19/08	Preston Brown M15 Arad	2-0	13-9	W
14/08	Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Targu Jiu	0-2	3-12	L
13/08	Jacopo Bilardo M15 Targu Jiu	2-0	13-7	W
12/08	Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M15 Targu Jiu	2-0	13-7	W
07/08	Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay	0-2	3-12	L
06/08	Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay	2-1	14-13	W
05/08	Giovanni Ciocca M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay	2-0	14-12	W
17/07	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion	0-2	5-12	L

Ignacio Monzon

LWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
21/08	Robert Guna M15 Arad	0-2	4-12	L
20/08	Jacopo Bilardo M15 Arad	2-1	15-11	W
13/08	Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Targu Jiu	1-2	11-15	L
12/08	Giovanni Ciocca M15 Targu Jiu	2-0	12-6	W
07/07	Hernan Casanova Challenger Bogota · Clay	0-2	10-14	L
06/07	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Bogota · Clay	2-1	20-18	W
05/07	Nicolas Hurtado Novoa Challenger Bogota · Clay	2-0	12-3	W
03/07	Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay	0-2	6-12	L
02/07	Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Quito · Clay	2-0	12-5	W
30/06	Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Quito · Clay	2-0	13-8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fermin Tenti vs Ignacio Monzon?

Our model gives 51% to Fermin Tenti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.