Tennis · M15 Vienna · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Jonas Gundacker vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Team pages: Jonas Gundacker · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Prediction summary
Winner
Jonas Gundacker
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jonas Gundacker
5-5 (W-L)
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jonas Gundacker 1552 · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1448
| Jonas Gundacker | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonas Gundacker (rating 1552 vs 1448).
- Jonas Gundacker is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (11.1/match).
Statistics
| Jonas Gundacker | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.9 | 9.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 11.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonas Gundacker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Jan Facek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Iiro Vasa M15 Wels |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Michal Novansky M15 Wels |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Stepan Mruzek M15 Wels |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Gabriele Mellerio M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Wels |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Filippo Catalano M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 07/07 | Szymon Podczaszy M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 14/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonas Gundacker vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Our model gives 68% to Jonas Gundacker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.