Tennis · M15 Vienna · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Matthias Ujvary vs Noel Larwig
Team pages: Matthias Ujvary
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthias Ujvary
Noel Larwig
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matthias Ujvary
7-3 (W-L)
Noel Larwig
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthias Ujvary 1531 · Noel Larwig 1446
| Matthias Ujvary | Noel Larwig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthias Ujvary (rating 1531 vs 1446).
- Matthias Ujvary is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matthias Ujvary | Noel Larwig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.3 | 10-13 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 49% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthias Ujvary
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Facundo Yunis M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Massimo Pizzigoni M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Peter Sallay M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Ziga Sesko M15 Wels |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Niklas Waldner M15 Wels |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Wels |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Noel Larwig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Oscar Moraing M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Alec Beckley M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Kacper Knitter M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Bruno Kokot M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthias Ujvary vs Noel Larwig?
Our model gives 63% to Matthias Ujvary, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.