Tennis · W35 Verbier · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Urszula Radwanska vs Diana Marcinkevica
Team pages: Urszula Radwanska · Diana Marcinkevica
Prediction summary
Winner
Urszula Radwanska
Diana Marcinkevica
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Urszula Radwanska
3-7 (W-L)
Diana Marcinkevica
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urszula Radwanska 1456 · Diana Marcinkevica 1517
| Urszula Radwanska | Diana Marcinkevica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Marcinkevica (rating 1456 vs 1517).
- Note: Urszula Radwanska makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Diana Marcinkevica makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Urszula Radwanska | Diana Marcinkevica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.6 | 11.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urszula Radwanska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Aliona Falei WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anastasiia Sorska W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Petra Sedlackova W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Freya Peet W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/04 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
Diana Marcinkevica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Zejda Veljacic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Pippa Bosman UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Emma Scaldalai UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/08 | Natalia Siedliska UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Chloe Lomans UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Nika Beukers UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Diana Martynov W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Rebeka Kern W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Mariia Pryshchepa UTR Pro Dusseldorf Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urszula Radwanska vs Diana Marcinkevica?
Our model gives 58% to Urszula Radwanska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.