Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 25/08, 01:00
Prediction: Chelsea Stergiopoulos vs Caitlin Baker
Team pages: Chelsea Stergiopoulos · Caitlin Baker
Prediction summary
Winner
Chelsea Stergiopoulos
Caitlin Baker
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Chelsea Stergiopoulos
3-7 (W-L)
Caitlin Baker
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chelsea Stergiopoulos 1473 · Caitlin Baker 1490
| Chelsea Stergiopoulos | Caitlin Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Caitlin Baker makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Chelsea Stergiopoulos | Caitlin Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.5 | 10.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 54% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea Stergiopoulos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Yeseo Lee W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/05 | Keira Blackbeard W15 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 29/04 | Elyse Tse W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Kanako Osafune W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 26/04 | Kanokin Wongpuvarak W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/03 | Alana Subasic W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/03 | Giulia Alessia Monteleone W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 18/03 | Jade Otway W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Caitlin Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Ami Dalla Pozza W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Ava-Monet Sycamore W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Madison Schwarz W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Ariel Gunawan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea Stergiopoulos vs Caitlin Baker?
Our model gives 56% to Caitlin Baker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.