Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 27/08, 01:00
Prediction: Caitlin Baker vs Bridget Mihulka
Team pages: Caitlin Baker · Bridget Mihulka
Prediction summary
Winner
Caitlin Baker
Bridget Mihulka
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Caitlin Baker
4-6 (W-L)
Bridget Mihulka
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caitlin Baker 1490 · Bridget Mihulka 1393
| Caitlin Baker | Bridget Mihulka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caitlin Baker (rating 1490 vs 1393).
- Caitlin Baker is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Caitlin Baker makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Caitlin Baker | Bridget Mihulka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.2-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.9 | 5.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 0 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 44.1% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caitlin Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Chelsea Stergiopoulos UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Ami Dalla Pozza W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Ava-Monet Sycamore W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Madison Schwarz W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Ariel Gunawan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Bridget Mihulka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Lucia Gale UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Dayna Harrison UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Taylor Burke UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elyse Tse ITF W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Susannah Su UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caitlin Baker vs Bridget Mihulka?
Our model gives 70% to Caitlin Baker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.