Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 27/08, 03:30
Prediction: Belle Thompson vs Lucia Gale
Team pages: Belle Thompson · Lucia Gale
Prediction summary
Winner
Belle Thompson
Lucia Gale
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Belle Thompson
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Gale
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belle Thompson 1549 · Lucia Gale 1574
| Belle Thompson | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Belle Thompson | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.9 | 9.9-8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 59.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 25/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Olivia Symons W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Tori Russell W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Lucia Gale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Bridget Mihulka UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Ranxi Yu UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Arabelle Mancini UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Roisin Gilheany W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belle Thompson vs Lucia Gale?
Our model gives 65% to Belle Thompson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.