Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 25/08, 18:00
Prediction: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata
Team pages: Raphael Collignon · Rinky Hijikata
Prediction summary
Winner
Raphael Collignon
Rinky Hijikata
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Raphael Collignon
2-8 (W-L)
Rinky Hijikata
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raphael Collignon 1473 · Rinky Hijikata 1509
| Raphael Collignon | Rinky Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Raphael Collignon makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Raphael Collignon | Rinky Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-15.3 | 12.6-13.2 |
| Aces | 8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.3
Over 23.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raphael Collignon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 30/06 | Arthur Fils Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Rinky Hijikata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/08 | Jaume Munar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Jesper De Jong Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 26-27 | L |
| 19/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata?
Our model gives 52% to Raphael Collignon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.