Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 25/08, 02:00
Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesana
Team pages: Daniel Altmaier · Francisco Comesana
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Altmaier
Francisco Comesana
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier
3-7 (W-L)
Francisco Comesana
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Altmaier
1–1
Francisco Comesana
(2 last)
- 07 May0-2 6-13L
- 14 Jan3-2 26-24W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1513 · Francisco Comesana 1499
| Daniel Altmaier | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francisco Comesana dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 46.7% break avg.
- Note: Francisco Comesana makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Altmaier | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.6 | 17.4-15.8 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.4
Over 23.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Daniel Altmaier 1 – 1 Francisco Comesana (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Altmaier 1–1 Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/25 ATP Rome | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/01/25 Australian Open | 3-2 | 26-24 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Altmaier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-22 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Francisco Comesana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 30-31 | L |
| 28/05 | Luciano Darderi French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Ethan Quinn French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesana?
Our model gives 51% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.