Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 25/08, 18:00
Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan
Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · Fabian Marozsan
Prediction summary
Winner
Miomir Kecmanovic
Fabian Marozsan
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic
7-3 (W-L)
Fabian Marozsan
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miomir Kecmanovic
1–3
Fabian Marozsan
(4 last)
- 25 Jun0-2 7-12L
- 16 Jun1-2 13-15L
- 24 May3-0 19-13W
- 16 Jun1-2 15-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1512 · Fabian Marozsan 1507
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Fabian Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Miomir Kecmanovic 1–3 Fabian Marozsan (4).
Statistics
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Fabian Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-14.4 | 12.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.8
Over 23.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 38% · 1.83
H2H · Miomir Kecmanovic 1 – 3 Fabian Marozsan (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miomir Kecmanovic 1–3 Fabian Marozsan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 ATP Mallorca | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06/26 ATP Halle | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/05/26 French Open | 3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06/25 ATP Halle | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-28 | L |
| 25/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Fabian Marozsan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 6-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 18/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan?
Our model gives 53% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.