Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 23:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Aleksandar Kovacevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Balshaw
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw
5-5 (W-L)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1503 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1440
| Felix Balshaw | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1503 vs 1440).
- Felix Balshaw is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Aleksandar Kovacevic makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.5 | 11.2-15 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 27.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Luca Pow ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Michael Mmoh ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model gives 53% to Aleksandar Kovacevic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.