Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 21:10
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewitt
Team pages: Sebastian Gorzny · Cruz Hewitt
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Cruz Hewitt
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
5-5 (W-L)
Cruz Hewitt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1503 · Cruz Hewitt 1489
| Sebastian Gorzny | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sebastian Gorzny makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.2 | 10.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.6
Over 23.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 54% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Felix Balshaw ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Marc Polmans ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 21/07 | Borna Gojo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Gavin Young Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Cruz Hewitt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Clement Chidekh M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Leo Vithoontien M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Axel Nefve M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewitt?
Our model gives 52% to Cruz Hewitt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.